EW
European Wax Center, Inc. (EWCZ)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2026 (company’s second fiscal quarter ended July 5, 2025): revenue declined 6.6% YoY to $55.9M, while Adjusted EBITDA rose 4.7% to $21.6M as mix and cost discipline expanded margins; same-store sales (SSS) were +0.3% and system-wide sales fell 1.0% .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue was slightly below, Adjusted EBITDA was roughly in line, and EPS missed materially as GAAP diluted EPS printed $0.09 vs ~$0.23 estimate*; management cited lower wholesale/retail contribution, Q1 tariff-related order pull-forward, and softer same-day services as headwinds .
- Guidance narrowed: FY revenue cut to $205–$209M (from $210–$214M) and SSS to 0–1% (from 0–2%), while Adjusted EBITDA ($69–$71M) and Adjusted Net Income ($31–$33M, ~23% tax) were maintained—implying continued profit resiliency amid tempered top-line .
- Management emphasized early traction in its “data-rich marketing engine” (contactability up to 57%, up to ~40% improvement in cost per acquisition) and operational playbooks; West Coast remains challenged while Texas/Florida/NY showed improvement; Wax Pass sales up ~2% YoY .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Margin resilience: Adjusted EBITDA +4.7% YoY to $21.6M; Adjusted EBITDA margin +420 bps to 38.7% on mix, advertising timing and cost discipline .
- Strategic execution signals: CEO highlighted “encouraging early signs” that strategies are taking hold, with improving guest frequency and marketing efficiency; contactability reached 57% (from 38% at start of year) and CPA improved up to ~40% since early 2025 .
- Unit ramping: 2025 openings ramping above pre-pandemic levels under a refined grand-opening playbook, supporting long-term unit growth plans .
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What Went Wrong
- Top-line softness: Total revenue -6.6% YoY; system-wide sales -1.0% on weaker same-day services and retail; SSS only +0.3% .
- EPS shortfall vs Street: GAAP diluted EPS $0.09 vs ~ $0.23 estimate*, reflecting lower revenue mix and higher SG&A (payroll/benefits; prior-year legal gain comp) .
- Footprint pressure: Net closures persisted (2 opens, 5 closes in Q2; 7 opens, 15 closes YTD), with 15–16 net closures expected in Q3, continuing 2025 as a “transitional” year .
Financial Results
Note: Q4 FY2024 = 13 weeks ended Jan 4, 2025; Q1 FY2025 = 13 weeks ended Apr 5, 2025; Q2 2026 = company’s Q2 FY2025, 13 weeks ended Jul 5, 2025.
Beats/Misses vs S&P Global Consensus (Q2 2026)
- Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Revenue Mix (Company-reported)
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Context and drivers:
- Revenue/SSS: softer same-day services and retail sales, partial offset from higher cash collected from Wax Pass .
- Mix/margins: higher royalty/marketing mix and product margin improvement; advertising timing reduced spend in Q2 .
- Tariffs: Q1 franchisee orders were pulled forward in anticipation of tariffs, normalizing Q2 wholesale .
Guidance Changes
Why the changes: Management cited encouraging recent transactions trends but more conservative timing for new guest acquisition initiatives; revenue mix shifts and continued network health support drive slightly lower wholesale/retail contributions while preserving profitability targets .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO (press release): “Encouraging early signs that our strategies are taking hold… clear focus on three strategic priorities: driving traffic and sales growth, improving four-wall profitability for franchisees, and pursuing thoughtful, profitable expansion.”
- CEO (call): “We’re increasingly grounded in data… test to learn mindset… uptick in performance with SSS up 1.7% in June and first five weeks of Q3 up 1.5%” (near-term trend datapoints) .
- CFO: “Advertising expense decreased due to timing… Adjusted EBITDA margin increased 420 bps to 38.7% despite top line pressure” .
- CEO on regional and product: “California remains challenged… improvement in Texas, Florida, New York… Wax Pass sales up almost 2% year over year” .
Q&A Highlights
- New-unit ramping: 2025 class ramping above pre-pandemic levels via refined grand opening playbook; strict operating standards and local store marketing underpin performance .
- Closure cadence and path back to growth: Focused on driving frequency, improving operator profitability, and development discipline to minimize closure impact; aim to return to net unit growth by end of 2026 .
- Data-led engagement: Segmented routines and targeted reactivation of “down-trend” guests show early success; contactability and personalized messaging driving frequency uplift .
- Regional dynamics and Wax Pass: West Coast soft; improvement in TX/FL/NY; Wax Pass up ~2% YoY in peak season .
- Labor model: Labor is primary four-wall cost; near-term efficiencies possible in front-of-house flow; long-term lever is volume growth via better tools and technology .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2026 results vs S&P Global: Revenue $55.9M vs $56.8M est* (slight miss), Adjusted EBITDA ~$21.6M vs ~$21.8M est* (in line/slight miss), EPS $0.09 vs ~$0.23 est* (miss), driven by lower wholesale/retail mix, softer same-day services, and higher SG&A .
- FY2025 Street context: Consensus revenue ~$208.8M*, EBITDA ~$71.8M*, EPS ~$0.59*; company now guides revenue below/prior lower bound and within/around consensus, while EBITDA guidance brackets consensus—suggesting modest revenue estimate trims with EBITDA broadly intact* .
- Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Profitability intact despite softer sales: Material margin expansion and maintained EBITDA/Adjusted NI guidance underscore cost/mix control and franchise model resilience .
- Near-term revenue reset: Lowered FY revenue/SSS ranges reflect conservative timing of new guest acquisition; near-term top-line may lag while initiatives mature .
- Execution milestones to watch: Transaction trends, SSS trajectory into 2H, unit closures cadence in Q3 (15–16 expected), and openings’ ramp vs pre-pandemic benchmark .
- Marketing engine ROI: Monitor contactability, CPA, and reactivation metrics translating into sustained frequency and new-guest acquisition in late 2025/2026 .
- Regional stabilization: West Coast remains an overhang; improvement in TX/FL/NY encouraging—track spread of best practices system-wide .
- Capital structure: Net leverage at 4.2x with strong operating cash flow; revolver undrawn—providing flexibility to support transformation and selective buybacks .
Additional Context and Documents
- Q2 2026 8-K 2.02 and press release (covering 13 and 26 weeks ended July 5, 2025) .
- Q2 2026 earnings call transcript (August 13, 2025) .
- Prior two quarters: Q1 FY2025 8-K (May 14, 2025) ; Q4 FY2024 8-K (March 11, 2025) .
- Other relevant Q2 press release: EWC TREAT All Over Deodorant launch (Aug 1, 2025) .