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EW

European Wax Center, Inc. (EWCZ)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2026 (company’s second fiscal quarter ended July 5, 2025): revenue declined 6.6% YoY to $55.9M, while Adjusted EBITDA rose 4.7% to $21.6M as mix and cost discipline expanded margins; same-store sales (SSS) were +0.3% and system-wide sales fell 1.0% .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue was slightly below, Adjusted EBITDA was roughly in line, and EPS missed materially as GAAP diluted EPS printed $0.09 vs ~$0.23 estimate*; management cited lower wholesale/retail contribution, Q1 tariff-related order pull-forward, and softer same-day services as headwinds .
  • Guidance narrowed: FY revenue cut to $205–$209M (from $210–$214M) and SSS to 0–1% (from 0–2%), while Adjusted EBITDA ($69–$71M) and Adjusted Net Income ($31–$33M, ~23% tax) were maintained—implying continued profit resiliency amid tempered top-line .
  • Management emphasized early traction in its “data-rich marketing engine” (contactability up to 57%, up to ~40% improvement in cost per acquisition) and operational playbooks; West Coast remains challenged while Texas/Florida/NY showed improvement; Wax Pass sales up ~2% YoY .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Margin resilience: Adjusted EBITDA +4.7% YoY to $21.6M; Adjusted EBITDA margin +420 bps to 38.7% on mix, advertising timing and cost discipline .
    • Strategic execution signals: CEO highlighted “encouraging early signs” that strategies are taking hold, with improving guest frequency and marketing efficiency; contactability reached 57% (from 38% at start of year) and CPA improved up to ~40% since early 2025 .
    • Unit ramping: 2025 openings ramping above pre-pandemic levels under a refined grand-opening playbook, supporting long-term unit growth plans .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Top-line softness: Total revenue -6.6% YoY; system-wide sales -1.0% on weaker same-day services and retail; SSS only +0.3% .
    • EPS shortfall vs Street: GAAP diluted EPS $0.09 vs ~ $0.23 estimate*, reflecting lower revenue mix and higher SG&A (payroll/benefits; prior-year legal gain comp) .
    • Footprint pressure: Net closures persisted (2 opens, 5 closes in Q2; 7 opens, 15 closes YTD), with 15–16 net closures expected in Q3, continuing 2025 as a “transitional” year .

Financial Results

Note: Q4 FY2024 = 13 weeks ended Jan 4, 2025; Q1 FY2025 = 13 weeks ended Apr 5, 2025; Q2 2026 = company’s Q2 FY2025, 13 weeks ended Jul 5, 2025.

MetricQ4 FY2024Q1 FY2025Q2 2026
Revenue ($USD Millions)$49.741 $51.427 $55.911
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$18.955 $18.752 $21.613
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %38.1% 36.5% 38.7%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$3.073 $2.570 $5.393
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)N/A$0.04 $0.09
Same-Store Sales %0.7% 0.7% 0.3%
System-Wide Sales ($USD Millions)$229.3 $225.9 $257.6
Centers (End of Period)1,067 1,062 1,059

Beats/Misses vs S&P Global Consensus (Q2 2026)

MetricActualConsensus*Surprise ($)Surprise (%)
Revenue ($USD Millions)$55.911 $56.800*-$0.889-1.6%
Primary EPS ($)$0.09 $0.2267*-$0.1367-60.3%
EBITDA/Adj. EBITDA ($USD Millions)$21.613 $21.8325*-$0.2195-1.0%
  • Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Revenue Mix (Company-reported)

Revenue Component ($USD Millions)Q4 FY2024Q1 FY2025Q2 2026
Product Sales$26.348 $28.871 $30.515
Royalty Fees$12.780 $12.428 $14.278
Marketing Fees$7.330 $7.203 $8.108
Other Revenue$3.283 $2.925 $3.010
Total Revenue$49.741 $51.427 $55.911

KPIs and Operating Metrics

KPIQ1 FY2025Q2 2026
Net Openings (Opens / Closes)5 / 10 2 / 5
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$12.7 $15.2
Net Leverage Ratio (TTM)4.3x 4.2x
Wax Pass Sales YoY~+2% (season)

Context and drivers:

  • Revenue/SSS: softer same-day services and retail sales, partial offset from higher cash collected from Wax Pass .
  • Mix/margins: higher royalty/marketing mix and product margin improvement; advertising timing reduced spend in Q2 .
  • Tariffs: Q1 franchisee orders were pulled forward in anticipation of tariffs, normalizing Q2 wholesale .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
System-Wide SalesFY 2025$940–$960M $940–$950M Narrowed (lowered high end)
Total RevenueFY 2025$210–$214M $205–$209M Lowered
Same-Store SalesFY 20250.0%–2.0% 0.0%–1.0% Narrowed (lowered high end)
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025$69–$71M $69–$71M Maintained
Adjusted Net IncomeFY 2025$31–$33M (new def.) $31–$33M (new def.) Maintained
Effective Tax Rate (for Adj. NI)FY 2025~23% ~23% Maintained
Net Center Openings (Gross/Net)FY 202510–12 opens; 28–50 net closures 10–12 opens; 28–50 net closures (15–16 net closures in Q3) Maintained; Q3 closure cadence raised

Why the changes: Management cited encouraging recent transactions trends but more conservative timing for new guest acquisition initiatives; revenue mix shifts and continued network health support drive slightly lower wholesale/retail contributions while preserving profitability targets .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 FY2024 and Q1 FY2025)Current Period (Q2 2026)Trend
Data/technology-driven marketing“Transitional year”; building a data-rich marketing engine; reiterated in Q1 with guest research and marketing engine progress .Contactability up to 57% (from 38%), CPA improved up to ~40%; test-and-learn (Champion ad test) with top creatives deployed .Improving
Supply chain/tariffsFY2025 to manage supply chain; Q1 noted pull-forward of franchisee orders ahead of tariffs .Proactive tariff mitigation; Q1 pull-forward normalized Q2 wholesale; margin resilience maintained .Stable/managed
Regional trendsNot detailed in Q4; Q1 strategic build-out .West Coast/California still soft; improvement in Texas, Florida, and New York .Mixed
Unit economics/openingsFY2025 transitional; net closures expected .2025 openings ramping above pre-pandemic; GO playbook; target return to net unit growth by end of 2026 .Improving
Product performance/retailRetail staff “phenomenal” in 2025 YTD (Q&A) .Launched All Over Deodorant (EWC TREAT) during Q2 (Aug 1) .Expanding
Labor/cost managementMargin focus reiterated .Labor is key four-wall cost; focus on volume and guest journey (GSA flow) to drive margin; tools for wax specialists .Focused execution

Management Commentary

  • CEO (press release): “Encouraging early signs that our strategies are taking hold… clear focus on three strategic priorities: driving traffic and sales growth, improving four-wall profitability for franchisees, and pursuing thoughtful, profitable expansion.”
  • CEO (call): “We’re increasingly grounded in data… test to learn mindset… uptick in performance with SSS up 1.7% in June and first five weeks of Q3 up 1.5%” (near-term trend datapoints) .
  • CFO: “Advertising expense decreased due to timing… Adjusted EBITDA margin increased 420 bps to 38.7% despite top line pressure” .
  • CEO on regional and product: “California remains challenged… improvement in Texas, Florida, New York… Wax Pass sales up almost 2% year over year” .

Q&A Highlights

  • New-unit ramping: 2025 class ramping above pre-pandemic levels via refined grand opening playbook; strict operating standards and local store marketing underpin performance .
  • Closure cadence and path back to growth: Focused on driving frequency, improving operator profitability, and development discipline to minimize closure impact; aim to return to net unit growth by end of 2026 .
  • Data-led engagement: Segmented routines and targeted reactivation of “down-trend” guests show early success; contactability and personalized messaging driving frequency uplift .
  • Regional dynamics and Wax Pass: West Coast soft; improvement in TX/FL/NY; Wax Pass up ~2% YoY in peak season .
  • Labor model: Labor is primary four-wall cost; near-term efficiencies possible in front-of-house flow; long-term lever is volume growth via better tools and technology .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2026 results vs S&P Global: Revenue $55.9M vs $56.8M est* (slight miss), Adjusted EBITDA ~$21.6M vs ~$21.8M est* (in line/slight miss), EPS $0.09 vs ~$0.23 est* (miss), driven by lower wholesale/retail mix, softer same-day services, and higher SG&A .
  • FY2025 Street context: Consensus revenue ~$208.8M*, EBITDA ~$71.8M*, EPS ~$0.59*; company now guides revenue below/prior lower bound and within/around consensus, while EBITDA guidance brackets consensus—suggesting modest revenue estimate trims with EBITDA broadly intact* .
  • Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Profitability intact despite softer sales: Material margin expansion and maintained EBITDA/Adjusted NI guidance underscore cost/mix control and franchise model resilience .
  • Near-term revenue reset: Lowered FY revenue/SSS ranges reflect conservative timing of new guest acquisition; near-term top-line may lag while initiatives mature .
  • Execution milestones to watch: Transaction trends, SSS trajectory into 2H, unit closures cadence in Q3 (15–16 expected), and openings’ ramp vs pre-pandemic benchmark .
  • Marketing engine ROI: Monitor contactability, CPA, and reactivation metrics translating into sustained frequency and new-guest acquisition in late 2025/2026 .
  • Regional stabilization: West Coast remains an overhang; improvement in TX/FL/NY encouraging—track spread of best practices system-wide .
  • Capital structure: Net leverage at 4.2x with strong operating cash flow; revolver undrawn—providing flexibility to support transformation and selective buybacks .

Additional Context and Documents

  • Q2 2026 8-K 2.02 and press release (covering 13 and 26 weeks ended July 5, 2025) .
  • Q2 2026 earnings call transcript (August 13, 2025) .
  • Prior two quarters: Q1 FY2025 8-K (May 14, 2025) ; Q4 FY2024 8-K (March 11, 2025) .
  • Other relevant Q2 press release: EWC TREAT All Over Deodorant launch (Aug 1, 2025) .